Apuestas del 01/09/14 al 07/09/14

Analyst Thread 9/2/14 FaceIt Tournament

Quick Summary

Fnatic Vs. Titan = (65%-35%) Fnatic
Dignitas Vs. Mercenary = (57%-43%) Dignitas
Virtus.Pro Vs. HellRaisers = (70%-30%) Virtus.Pro
NiP Vs. BST = (59%-41%) NiP (place ICB on BST)

*Note: These games can go either way depending on different situations

Fnatic Vs. Titan
BO1

Fnatic will be facing off against Titan's new line up on de_inferno. For those of you who don't know, Titan's new line up is now kennyS, apEX, Ex6TenZ, Maniac, and KQLY. That is an insanely strong line up and the double awping with kennyS and KQLY should be interesting. This is their first real game as a team so we don't know how well they will mesh together which makes calling a winner extremely hard. There are two situations here that can happen, Fnatic will destroy or beat Titan because they haven't really been together much as a team and Fnatic is just way more prepared. The other situation is that Titan's amazing line up comes into their first game and catches Fnatic off guard and takes the win.

Fnatic has done well against LDLC and Titan before, but they've been really close games. Another fact is that even though KQLY and kennyS are strong awpers, JW and olofm can match them. Fnatic is a strong team on de_inferno, and in my opinion their roster is just as good as Titan's if not better. That being said, with both rosters being equal talent wise, there's one thing that Fnatic has that Titan doesn't have and that's chemistry and gameplans set for this map.

That'll be a huge factor in this game and I expect Fnatic to look more complete as a team to beat out Titan in their first game.

My odds: 65%-35% Fnatic
Prediction: 16-11 Fnatic

CHOICE: Fnatic

MRC Vs. Dignitas
BO1

Dignitas will be facing off against MRC on de_dust 2. Mercenary is a new team like Titan and their line up is Shox, NBK, SmithZz, Happy, and kioShiMa. That is a great roster like Titan's and their players are experienced on de_dust 2 and have beaten Dignitas on that map before.

Dignitas is a really strong de_dust 2 team and their CT side is really good. They will be playing without their in game caller "Fetish" and will have MSL standing in instead. That right there is a huge reason as to why Dignitas is not favored here. Fetish is a huge part of their team and it really breaks up their coordination a bit which will equal with Mercenaries lack of team work.

Mercenaries players shox and kioShiMa have played against Dignitas before and they didn't really play all that well against them losing 9-16. But they are with different players this time, and I'm not quite sure that should help them that much.

Although Dignitas is playing without Fetish, they are still better and more complete as a team on one of their favorite maps than a team that was just put together recently and haven't really played much. Dignitas should be able to take advantage of that and play well on a map that they are confident on.

This is a HIGH risk game and if you don't want to lose skins then don't bet on this one. There are different scenarios that could happen because we haven't seen Mercenary yet, but on paper Dignitas should be taking this one.

My odds: 57%-43% Dignitas
Prediction: 16-12 Dignitas

CHOICE: Dignitas

Virtus.Pro Vs. HellRaisers
BO1

Virtus.Pro will be facing off against HellRaisers on de_mirage.

Virtus.Pro just DESTROYED NiP on de_mirage 16-1, and they were 1 round away from making it 16-0. This isn't just any team we are talking about, this is NiP, the ESL One Cologne champions and one of the best teams out there. Virtus.Pro looked solid on that map, and everyone was playing well. They looked a bit off the next two maps but the important thing to focus on is that they crushed NiP on de_mirage.

HellRaisers has looked off recently even though they've been boot camping. I hate to say it but they aren't really improving much from boot camping. The last time they played Virtus.Pro in a best of three they beat them, but it was on maps that weren't really in V.Pro's favor. After that best of three things just started going down hill for HellRaisers losing to Na'vi two times in a row.

Virtus.Pro looks a lot better recently and HellRaisers doesn't look as sharp. I would say Virtus.Pro should have this one ez pz but the problem is that we all know that V.Pro can turn into V.Throw.

Ignoring the fact that V.Pro can have an off day, V.Pro should be taking this one.

My odds: 70%-30% V.Pro
Prediction: 16-9 V.Pro

CHOICE: V.Pro

NiP Vs. BST
BO1

NiP will be facing off against BST on de_inferno. NiP just came off of a disappointing loss against V.Pro where they looked horrible the first two games then looked pretty good in their next 3 games. NiP is a good team, and they are decent on de_inferno. Their last games on de_inferno was a 19-16 win over V.Pro, 13-16 loss against HR, and 16-13 win against Fnatic.

Fxy0, Sf, ScreaM, GMX, and Uzzziii is the line up for BST. They are definitely not worthy of 21% odds against NiP, because they definitely can beat NiP on de_infenro. Fxy0 is a great awper which can come in handy when awping on that map picking up entry frags for them, and he has a nice line up supporting him too. Like the other new teams, no one knows how they will play out and their team work will be off most likely and I assume that they don't really have a game plan.

NiP is favored to take this game, not because of individual skill but because they have been together longer and have game plans and chemistry set in stone for them already. But with the odds so skewed in favor of NiP, I would not feel comfortable placing a high bet on NiP because I know they can be out matched easily.

That being said, I will choose BST, but I don't suggest a medium or high, only place low.

My odds: 59%-41% NiP
Prediction: 16-12 NiP

CHOICE: BST (ICB, LOW)